Disaster's Aftermath: Strategy or Instinct?
June 2023
London School of Economics (LSE)

Introduction
Dive into the unexpected with this eye-opening piece from the London School of Economics! Discover how firms flip their strategies upside down after major disruptive events, like earthquakes or pandemics. Ever wondered if companies act on cold, hard facts or just wing it with gut feelings post-crisis? This article explores the shaky ground of decision-making in the aftermath of chaos, revealing surprising shifts in inventory and flexibility. Who knew the aftermath of disaster could be so riveting?
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Discover how this topic shapes your world and future
Navigating the Unpredictable - How Firms Weather Storms
Imagine a world where every company could predict and prepare for every disaster, from earthquakes to pandemics. Sounds ideal, right? Yet, the reality is far from this. The 2011 Japan earthquake was a wake-up call, showing that the unexpected can have massive ripple effects on global supply chains and economies. This topic dives into the intriguing world of how firms react to such unforeseeable events, known as low-probability high-consequence (LPHC) events. It's crucial because it's about more than just companies and economies; it's about understanding human behavior under uncertainty, the balance between efficiency and preparedness, and how our world is interconnected in ways we might not even realize. For you, this could mean exploring why the sneakers you wanted are out of stock, or why your favorite snack's price suddenly spiked. It's a glimpse into the complexities of the modern world, and how we strive to navigate its uncertainties.
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Disruptive Events
Unexpected occurrences that significantly alter the normal flow of operations within firms or economies.

Supply Chains
Networks between a company and its suppliers to produce and distribute a specific product to the final buyer.

Low-Probability High-Consequence (LPHC) Events
Rare but impactful events that are difficult to predict and can cause significant disruptions.

Operational Resilience
The ability of a company to continue functioning effectively in the face of disruptions.

Inventory Levels
Quantities of goods and materials a company holds in stock to manage production and supply demands.

Volume Flexibility
The capacity of a firm to adjust its production volume to cope with fluctuations in demand.
Independent Research Ideas

Psychology of Decision Making During Crises
Investigate how managers' psychological biases and risk perceptions influence their decision-making in the face of LPHC events. This could shed light on the human aspect of business strategy.

Sustainability vs. Resilience in Supply Chain Design
Explore the balance between creating efficient, sustainable supply chains and the need for resilience against disruptions. This topic intersects environmental studies, economics, and business strategy.

The Role of Technology in Enhancing Operational Resilience
Examine how advancements in technology (e.g., AI, blockchain) can help firms better predict and manage the impacts of disruptive events. This merges technology, business, and innovation.

Global Supply Chains and Local Disasters
Study how a local disruptive event in one part of the world can impact global supply chains. This topic offers a deep dive into globalization, geography, and economics.

Cultural Influences on Corporate Crisis Management
Analyze how cultural differences influence firms' approaches to preparing for and responding to LPHC events. This could provide insights into international business and organizational behavior.
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